C

CBR to MEL flight delays

Canberra (CBR) Melbourne (MEL)

6,230 flights · March 2025 – August 2026 · Australian Government BITRE

79.63%

Arrived on time

Within 15 minutes of schedule

3.4%

Cancelled

Share of scheduled flights

When late, late by

Average across delayed arrivals

Delay per flight

Averaged over every flight flown

What the record says about this route

Which airline you fly changes the odds here. Qantas arrived on time 16.9 points more often than Jetstar over the same period on the same route — same airports, same weather, same air traffic control. A gap that survives all of that is about how the two airlines are run.

Cancellation, not delay, is the risk worth pricing here: 3.4% of scheduled flights never operated. A late flight still gets you there. A cancelled one leaves you rebooking, and on a route with few daily departures that can mean losing a day.

This is one of the heavily flown routes in the record — 6,230 flights in the period. Frequency is itself a form of insurance: when a flight goes wrong there is another one within hours, which is not true of the thin routes elsewhere on this site.

The Canberra to Melbourne route sits close to the middle of the record — neither notably punctual nor notably late.

Which airline should you fly on this route?

Over March 2025 – August 2026, Qantas arrived on time most often on CBR to MEL. Jetstar was late most often. Flights ran closest to schedule in May and worst in December.

Every airline on CBR to MEL

Ranked by how many flights each one operated. A carrier with fewer than 100 flights in the period is listed but not graded.

Airline Flights On time Cancelled Avg delay Grade
QantasLink 3,306 76.18% 5.9% D
Virgin Australia 2,089 84.57% 0.43% B
Jetstar 517 73.79% 0.39% C
Qantas 318 90.71% 1.89% A

Month by month

Share of flights that arrived within 15 minutes of schedule, by month flown.

Jan 2025 peak 89 Jul 2026
On-time arrival rate, %

What these figures do and do not tell you

Everything on this page is counted from the flights that actually operated on CBR to MEL during March 2025 – August 2026, as reported by the airlines to the US Bureau of Transportation Statistics. "On time" is the federal definition: arriving at the gate within 15 minutes of the scheduled time.

A route's record is a description of the past, not a forecast. Weather, air traffic control and the aircraft's earlier flights that day drive most delays, and none of them are predictable from a historical rate. What the record does tell you is whether this route runs late more often than others, and which carrier on it has the better history — which is the part you can actually act on when you book.

Cancellations are counted separately from delays because they are a different problem for a traveller: a late flight still gets you there. How the grade is calculated →