Best time to fly Chicago to Saginaw/Bay City/Midland

Every month pooled across the years on record, so "July" means July generally rather than one particular July. Full ORD to MBS record →

Best month

October

78.5% on time · 186 flights

Worst month

March

55.7% on time · 186 flights

Month Flights On time Cancelled When late, by
January 173 58.6% 2.31% 77 min
February 165 62.3% 1.82% 89 min
March 186 55.7% 5.38% 88 min
April 180 68.9% 1.67% 79 min
May 186 75.5% 0.54% 90 min
June 150 73% 1.33% 73 min
July 185 67.4% 1.62% 78 min
August 186 71% 1.08% 66 min
September 180 77.1% 0.56% 61 min
October 186 78.5% 0% 78 min
November 176 69.8% 3.98% 75 min
December 167 60.6% 3.59% 91 min

What a seasonal pattern can and cannot tell you

Months differ for reasons that repeat — summer thunderstorms in the American interior, winter fog and de-icing in northern Europe, school holidays filling every seat and leaving no slack in the schedule. Those are real and they come back each year.

What the pattern cannot do is forecast a particular flight. A quiet month has late days and a bad month has punctual ones. Treat this as a way to choose between two dates you are indifferent about, not as a promise.