MSP to SMF flight delays
Minneapolis, MN (MSP) Sacramento, CA (SMF) · 1,517 miles
590 flights · January 2025 – August 2026 · US Bureau of Transportation Statistics
82.45%
Arrived on time
Within 15 minutes of schedule
0.51%
Cancelled
Share of scheduled flights
53 min
When late, late by
Average across delayed arrivals
11 min
Delay per flight
Averaged over every flight flown
What the record says about this route
The season swings this route hard. In September it ran 38.4 points more punctual than in January — a difference bigger than the one between the best and worst airlines on most routes. If the date is flexible, it is worth more than the carrier.
The two directions do not behave alike. SMF to MSP arrives on time 10.2 points more often than the outbound. Delay accumulates through the flying day, so whichever direction is scheduled later tends to carry the worse record — which is an argument for booking the morning departure if the choice exists.
Only Delta Air Lines flies this route in the published record, so there is no choice to weigh — the route's figures and the airline's are the same figures.
This is a thin route — 590 flights across the whole period. On a route this infrequent a cancellation is far more costly than the rate suggests, because the next departure may not be the same day.
Which airline should you fly on this route?
Over January 2025 – August 2026, Delta Air Lines arrived on time most often on MSP to SMF. Flights ran closest to schedule in September and worst in January.
Every airline on MSP to SMF
Ranked by how many flights each one operated. A carrier with fewer than 100 flights in the period is listed but not graded.
| Airline | Flights | On time | Cancelled | Avg delay | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines | 590 | 82.45% | 0.51% | 53 min | B |
Month by month
Share of flights that arrived within 15 minutes of schedule, by month flown.
The return leg
SMF to MSP Sacramento back to Minneapolis 92.66% on time AOther routes from Minneapolis
Common questions
Are flights from Minneapolis to Sacramento usually delayed?
82.45% of flights on the MSP to SMF route arrived within 15 minutes of schedule, so roughly 2 in every ten arrived late. That is better than the average route in this record.
Which airlines fly from Minneapolis to Sacramento?
Only Delta Air Lines appears in the published record on this route, with 590 flights and 82.45% arriving on time.
How often are MSP to SMF flights cancelled?
0.51% of scheduled flights did not operate — about 5 in every thousand. That is in the normal range.
What is the best month to fly Minneapolis to Sacramento?
September, when 92.7% of flights arrived on time. The worst was January at 54.3%.
When MSP to SMF flights are late, how late are they?
About 53 minutes on average across the flights that arrived more than 15 minutes behind schedule.
What these figures do and do not tell you
Everything on this page is counted from the flights that actually operated on MSP to SMF during January 2025 – August 2026, as reported by the airlines to the US Bureau of Transportation Statistics. "On time" is the federal definition: arriving at the gate within 15 minutes of the scheduled time.
A route's record is a description of the past, not a forecast. Weather, air traffic control and the aircraft's earlier flights that day drive most delays, and none of them are predictable from a historical rate. What the record does tell you is whether this route runs late more often than others, and which carrier on it has the better history — which is the part you can actually act on when you book.
Cancellations are counted separately from delays because they are a different problem for a traveller: a late flight still gets you there. How the grade is calculated →